Expert Opinion
Georghii Kukhaleishvili
analyst
Association of Milk Producers

Global Dairy Market: Milk Surpluses Put Pressure on Prices

Nearly all dairy regions experienced an atypical increase in milk yields, which led to a rise in global milk production volumes. According to calculations by…

Georghii Kukhaleishvili
analyst
Association of Milk Producers

Global Dairy Market: Cow Diseases and Weather Impact Milk Supply

From January to July, the EU's raw milk production decreased due to cow diseases and unfavorable weather. Drought has also led to lower yields in…

Export Demand for Commodities Pushes Up Milk Prices

In the second half of July, purchase prices rose due to a raw milk deficit and high export demand for commodities. Butter exports increased by 50% in the first half of the year, and the hryvnia's devaluation is stimulating price growth for finished products. Further increases in purchase prices are expected in early August, but there are risks of them falling in the second half of the month due to uncertainty with EU trade after the cancellation of ATMs. New quotas have not yet been approved due to resistance from Central and Eastern European countries, which could halt Ukrainian dairy exports, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers.

UKRAINIAN NATIONAL AGRARIAN FORUM CALLS FOR THE SWIFT ADOPTION OF THE EU-UKRAINE TRADE DEAL

The Association of Milk Producers, along with leading agricultural associations that are part of the Ukrainian National Agrarian Forum (UNAF) – a coordination platform for Ukraine's agricultural sector – call upon the EU Danish Presidency and the EU Member States to adopt without further delay the agricultural trade arrangement reached lately by the European Commission and Ukraine.

Ukraine increased exports of frozen beef in the first half of 2025

The situation in the cattle and beef market is stable: limited supply and high demand are supporting record trade volumes and high prices, despite geopolitical uncertainty and risks, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers of Ukraine.

GDT Auction: Milk Powder Pushes Prices Up

Following the auction, the price index increased amid reduced milk powder stocks in producer regions, a decrease in commodity offerings, and a rise in the number of auction participants, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers of Ukraine.

Preserve the Ministry of Agrarian Policy: Ukrainian Agricultural Associations Appeal to the President

The Association of Milk Producers of Ukraine, along with 36 other agricultural associations, has appealed to the President of Ukraine regarding the inadvisability of liquidating the Ministry of Agrarian Policy.

  • Wednesday, 16 July 2025

Ukraine Declined Dairy Exports After Autonomous Trade Measures (ATMs) Cancellation

In June, Ukraine sharply cut dairy product exports to the EU following the European Commission's cancellation of autonomous trade measures, which caused uncertainty regarding tariffs and quotas, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers of Ukraine.

Upward Trend in Raw Milk Prices in Ukraine

In early July, raw milk prices in Ukraine remained stable, but are expected to rise amid increasing butter prices. Following an updated trade agreement with the EU, Ukraine received expanded quotas for dairy product exports, which facilitated the resumption of supplies and led to a raw material shortage in the domestic market, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers.

Bluetongue and Drought Push Up Milk Prices in Europe

A reduction in cattle herds due to bluetongue disease and drought are restraining milk yields and contributing to rising raw milk prices in Europe, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers.

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GDT Auction: Increased Supply Puts Pressure on Prices

According to DCA Market Intelligence, "bearish sentiment" prevailed in the dairy market after the 382nd GDT auction. International futures markets show downward trends in both New Zealand and the EU, while in the US, "bearish" signals are less pronounced. According to The Bullvine, an additional 15.5 thousand tonnes of product were sent from New Zealand for the 383rd GDT auction, equivalent to a month's raw milk production from approximately 50 thousand cows. This likely led to a noticeable decline in the price index following the new auction, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers.