Expert Opinion

Global Dairy Market: Milk Production Declining

In April, milk production volumes decreased in the EU, the USA, and Oceania. The decline in milk yield was influenced by a reduction in cow…

Georghii Kukhaleishvili
analyst
Association of Milk Producers

Global Dairy Market: Producing Milk Becomes More Expensive in 2025

According to AHDB, global milk production in 2024 was significantly impacted by rising production costs in regions such as Argentina, Australia, China, Ireland, New Zealand,…

Butter Prices See Biggest Increase in Supermarkets

Over the past month in Ukraine, prices for packaged milk, kefir in Tetra Pak and glass bottles, cottage cheese, and Suluguni cheese decreased, while other dairy products became more expensive. The abolition of EU trade preferences may further lead to a reduction in domestic prices, reports Georghii Kukhaleishvili, an analyst at the Association of Milk Producers.

Pasteurized milk with fat content up to 2.6% in film packaging costs an average of 45.65 UAH per kg, which is 75 kopiykas (-2%) less than the previous month, but 6.48 UAH (+17%) more than last year. The cheapest film-packaged milk (900g) is the "Kozhen Den" brand, costing 38.78 UAH per kg, while the most expensive is "Molokiya" brand at 56.88 UAH per kg.

Pasteurized milk with fat content up to 2.6% in plastic bottles costs an average of 63.81 UAH/kg, which is 21 kopiykas (+0.3%) more than the previous month and 12.29 UAH per kg (+24%) more than last year. The cheapest milk in 870g plastic bottles is under the "Metro" label, costing 49.31 UAH per kg, while the most expensive is under the "Molokiya" label, at 71.09 UAH per kg.

Kefir with 2.5% fat in film packaging costs an average of 55.54 UAH per kg, which is 37 kopiykas (+1%) more than a month ago and 7.98 UAH (+17%) more expensive than last year. The cheapest 900g film-packaged kefir is the "Kefir" brand, costing 43.88 UAH per kg. The highest price was recorded for "Yagotynsky" kefir in 900g film packaging (59.99 UAH per kg).

Kefir with 2.5% fat in plastic bottles costs an average of 76.75 UAH per kg, which is 1.99 UAH (+3%) more than a month ago and 17.48 UAH (+29%) more than last year. The cheapest "Zarog" kefir in 870g bottles costs 68.74 UAH per kg, while the most expensive brand in similar packaging, "Slovianochka," costs 76.37 UAH per kg.

Kefir with 2.5% fat in Tetra Pak costs 72.82 UAH per kg, which is 68 kopiykas (-1%) less than the previous month, but 15.05 UAH (+26%) more than last year. The cheapest 950g Tetra Pak kefir is the "Selianske" brand (58.93 UAH per kg), while the most expensive is the "Na Zdorov'ya" brand (78.73 UAH per kg).

Sour cream with 15% fat in cups costs an average of 191.13 UAH per kg, which is 4.04 UAH (+2%) more than the previous month and 51.17 UAH per kg (+37%) more than last year. The cheapest 300g cup of sour cream is the "Auchan" label, costing 142.67 UAH per kg, while the most expensive is sour cream produced by "Miskmolzavod №1" – 244.67 UAH per kg.

Sour cream with 15% fat in film packaging costs an average of 146.08 UAH per kg, which is 2.90 UAH (+2%) more than the previous month and 33.06 UAH (+29%) more than last year. The cheapest 350g film-packaged sour cream is "Kagma" (128.86 UAH per kg), while the most expensive is the "Selianske" brand (171.43 UAH per kg).

The average price for drinking yogurt with 1.6% to 2.8% fat in plastic bottles was 116.44 UAH per kg, which is 2.15 UAH (+1.9%) more than the previous month, but 23.24 UAH (+25%) more than last year. The cheapest 300g plastic bottle of yogurt is "Halychyna" (116.96 UAH per kg), while the most expensive is yogurt produced by "Miskmolzavod №1" (122.33 UAH per kg).

Spoonable yogurt with 1.6% to 2.8% fat in cups costs an average of 161.62 UAH per kg, which is 92 kopiykas (+1%) more than the previous month and 30.96 UAH (+24%) more than last year. In 280g cups, the cheapest is "Na Zdorov'ya 'Bulgarian'" yogurt (128.38 UAH per kg), while the most expensive is "Ferma 'Po-turetsky'" yogurt (156.31 UAH per kg).

The average price for cottage cheese with 9% fat was 279.80 UAH per kg, which is 7.39 UAH (-3%) less than the previous month, but 56.50 UAH (+25%) more than last year. In 350g packages, the cheapest cottage cheese is the "Auchan" label (219.71 UAH per kg), while the most expensive is the "Yagotynsky" brand (287.48 UAH per kg).

Butter with 72.5% to 73% fat content of domestic production costs an average of 584.82 UAH per kg, which is 11.18 UAH (+1.9%) more than the previous month and 162.63 UAH (+39%) more expensive than last year. Among Ukrainian brands in 200g packages, the cheapest butter was "Auchan" with 73% fat – 429.50 UAH per kg. The highest price tag in this package size belongs to "Globino 'Selianske Solodkovershkove'" butter with 73% fat – 593.00 UAH per kg. For comparison, imported "President" butter in a 200g package costs 989.00 UAH per kg, which is 69% more expensive than Ukrainian-produced butter.

"Lustdorf" butter with 72.5% fat in an 180g package costs 650.67 UAH per kg, which is 77.03 UAH (+13%) more expensive than the previous month and 232.98 UAH (+56%) higher than last year.

Ukrainian cheese with 50% fat costs an average of 578.09 UAH per kg. Compared to the previous month, the product became cheaper by 1.52 UAH (-0.3%). The cheese increased in price by 131.17 UAH (+29%) compared to last year. In kilogram packaging, the cheapest Ukrainian hard cheese by weight costs 265.10 UAH per kg, while the most expensive is the "Shostka" brand – 636.15 UAH per kg.

Dutch cheese with 45% fat costs an average of 590.64 UAH per kg. Compared to the previous month, the product increased in price by 12.77 UAH (+2%). Compared to last year, the cheese increased in price by 139.41 UAH (+31%). In kilogram packaging, the lowest price for Dutch cheese is the "Kremenetski Molochni Vyroby" brand – 329.00 UAH per kg, while the highest is the "Novhorod-Siverskyi" brand – 639.00 UAH per kg.

The average price for Maasdam cheese with 45% fat of domestic production was 709.65 UAH per kg, which is 21.41 UAH (+3%) more expensive than a month ago. The cheese costs 174.98 UAH (+33%) more than last year. Among domestic products, the cheapest Maasdam hard cheese in kilogram packaging costs 299.80 UAH per kg, while the most expensive is the "Novhorod-Siverskyi" Maasdam brand – 649.00 UAH per kg. Imported "Kroon" Maasdam in kilogram packaging costs an average of 496.50 UAH per kg in Ukraine, which is 30% cheaper than domestic products.

Gouda cheese with 45% fat from Ukrainian companies costs an average of 593.14 UAH per kg, which is 5.74 UAH (+1%) more than the previous month and 131.50 UAH (+28%) more expensive than last year. Among domestic products, the cheapest Gouda cheese in kilogram packaging is the "Kremenets" brand – 322.80 UAH per kg, while the most expensive is the "Komo" Gouda brand – 572.00 UAH per kg. Imported "Euromark" Gouda in 500g packaging costs 686.20 UAH per kg in Ukraine, which is 16% more expensive than products from Ukrainian cheesemakers.

Mozzarella with 45% fat of Ukrainian production costs an average of 596.42 UAH per kg. The cheese increased in price by 4.86 UAH (+1%) compared to the previous month. Over the last year, Mozzarella increased in price by 163.82 UAH (+38%). The cheapest Mozzarella in kilogram packaging is the "Metro" label – 439.90 UAH per kg, while the most expensive is the "Yagotynsky" Mozzarella brand, costing 711.72 UAH per kg. Imported "Bayernland Gourmini" Mozzarella in kilogram packaging costs 715.00 UAH per kg, which is 20% more expensive than domestic products.

Georghii Kukhaleishvili notes that over the past month in Ukraine, prices for pasteurized milk with fat content up to 2.6% in film packaging, kefir with 2.5% fat in Tetra Pak and glass, cottage cheese with 9% fat, and Suluguni cheese decreased. Prices for other dairy products in the consumer basket either remained unchanged or increased by an average of 2.9%. "Lustdorf" butter with 72.5% fat showed the most significant price increase among other dairy products. Butter prices are rising following high global commodity prices. Specifically, the price of butter in the EU in May remained at 7200–7400 euros per tonne, which are near-record figures not seen since 2017–2018.

The increased supply and consumption of imported cheeses in the domestic market hinder the sale of products by domestic cheesemakers. The share of imported cheeses in the domestic market has reached 47%. In the future, a decrease in prices for raw milk and dairy products is likely due to the EU's cancellation of autonomous trade measures (ATMs) for milk and dairy products from Ukraine, which since 2022 allowed domestic processing enterprises to supply their products to the EU without quotas and duties. If an agreement cannot be reached with the European Commission on increasing or abolishing dairy product quotas and maintaining a duty-free regime, then Ukraine is likely to reduce commodity exports, and increasing surpluses of raw milk and unsold products should put pressure on domestic prices.

Press Service of the Association of Milk Producers


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