Expert Opinion
Georghii Kuhiashvili
analyst
Association of Milk Producers

Global Dairy Market: Overproduction, Price Decline, and Recovery Prospects

In 2025, the global dairy market was influenced by factors such as animal diseases, weather, geopolitical and economic changes related to protectionist measures in the…

Georghii Kuhiashvili
analyst
Association of Milk Producers

Global Dairy Market: Raw Material Prices Have Dropped Temporarily

According to IFCN estimates, global milk production volumes are expected to increase by 11 million tonnes in 2025 compared to last year. The weather in…

Milk prices are rising, but the trend frail

The rising price of raw milk materials is supported, albeit slowly due to the seasonality. Recent monitoring has shown a slight increase in prices in all grades, and most of all again on the first. While extra grade rose by 6 kopecks, to 10.16 UAH/kg, higher grade by 3 kopecks, to 9.73 UAH/kg, and the first one on 8 kopecks, to 9.17 UAH/kg. Weighted average price of the three grades added 6 kopecks and amounts to 9.69 UAH/kg.

Has changed and the range of fluctuations in the price of extra grade in the regions. In the West of 9.80-10.0 UAH./kg; the Eastern and 9.9 to 10.2 UAH./kg; North - 9.90-10.5 UAH./kg., South - 9.90-10.5 UAH./kg, Central - 9.90-10.40 UAH./kg.

Despite the fall in milk production on the background of the end of the season milk, the seasonal trend of growth looks quite sluggish. The reason is falling demand, which was influenced by quarantine restrictions, which is not so quickly restored. Additional pressure has the growing imports of dairy products, which in terms of falling purchasing power of citizens, not only keeps its market share, but is growing in the first half of the year.

The situation with the recovery in the near future is unlikely to change significantly, but rising prices of raw materials will be observed within the seasonal trend, which may not be as rapid as last year.

Source: AMP Analytical Department